Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-09
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.07 to 0.10. 63 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	32	32
0.10	282	314
0.11	397	712
0.12	10	722
0.14	33	755
0.15	39	794
0.17	20	814
0.18	45	859
0.19	94	952
0.20	51	1,003
0.22	45	1,048
0.23	37	1,085

Spread0.03Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	15	15
0.05	267	282
0.04	649	931
0.03	1,101	2,032
0.02	318	2,350
0.01	695	3,045

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	15	15
0.95	267	282
0.96	649	931
0.97	1,101	2,032
0.98	318	2,350
0.99	695	3,045

Spread0.03Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	32	32
0.90	282	314
0.89	397	712
0.88	10	722
0.86	33	755
0.85	39	794
0.83	20	814
0.82	45	859
0.81	94	952
0.80	51	1,003
0.78	45	1,048
0.77	37	1,085

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	700
AJSV	Yes	41.07
unoalef	Yes	25
0xa5ef…2966	No	752.91
KiruaTrading	No	13.16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:36:03	BUY	No	0.92	12	$10.89
06:35:53	BUY	Yes	0.100528	25	$2.51
19:06:11	SELL	No	0.89	20	$17.80
18:46:00	BUY	Yes	0.109999976	33	$3.62
18:01:00	BUY	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20