BetsAhead
0x00027ec17e9a054f06878b2c3d8722556d3056c9
- Realised P&L
- $-200.34
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $681.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.25at 0.487Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$34.15at 0.226Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
- +$8.25at 0.708Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.82at 0.390Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$6.39at 0.610Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:28 | Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0563035721 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 06:28 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 20:49 | Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.083258 | $16.65 |
| 07-14 08:22 | Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.0385 | $77.00 |
| 07-14 08:21 | Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.88 |
| 07-11 15:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $82.24 |
| 07-09 08:34 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $12.00 |
| 07-06 14:43 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 14:42 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 07-06 14:34 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 07-04 18:14 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 19:48 | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 18:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 10:07 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1666666667 | $30.00 |
| 07-02 10:05 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.25 |