PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BetsAhead

0x00027ec17e9a054f06878b2c3d8722556d3056c9

Realised P&L
$-200.34
Volume
$17.7k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$681.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1670.250$89.84+$29.84
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1810.200$66.11+$6.11
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2130.210$59.21$0.79
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2890.415$43.11+$13.11
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3720.745$40.08+$20.08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3680.545$36.76+$11.96
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0930.060$30.00$16.65
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes0.1260.106$27.00$5.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · Yes0.6530.835$25.57+$5.57
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.034$24.41$5.59
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2180.155$21.32$8.68
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5340.565$21.13+$1.13
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0560.030$19.04$15.95
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.4020.730$18.15+$8.15
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2270.135$17.88$12.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:28Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0563035721$30.00
08-03 06:28Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.219999985$10.00
07-29 20:49Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.083258$16.65
07-14 08:22Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?BUY0.0385$77.00
07-14 08:21Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by September 30?BUY0.038$1.88
07-11 15:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.89$82.24
07-09 08:34Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.15$12.00
07-06 14:43Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
07-06 14:42Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.19$1.90
07-06 14:34Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$4.80
07-04 18:14NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.179999987$10.00
07-03 19:48Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0569999894$5.00
07-02 18:27NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.149999994$20.00
07-02 10:07Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1666666667$30.00
07-02 10:05Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$3.25