PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe9176810597362DD5BbfC1B4f146C977f56FB473-1777865201941

0x004683a7cb85faf60f4c2904f9f7e9c0deaf568c

Realised P&L
$-96.12
Volume
$34.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3220.365$1.9k+$220.33
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.065$130.00$110.00
Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes0.2210.000$0.00$151.30
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00$387.99
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00$400.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 09:59Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.2599999947$29.26
08-01 09:59Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.01049946$31.50
08-01 09:54Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.2542739419$77.96
08-01 09:46Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.25$25.00
08-01 09:34Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.2$180.00
07-31 12:22Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.4956929231$322.20
07-31 11:57Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.4$109.17
07-31 06:37Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.27$9.80
07-25 12:17Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.177$1.08
07-21 19:39Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.12$240.00
07-20 15:29Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.34$170.00
07-19 23:11Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.397$5.16
07-19 22:52Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.94$567.14
07-19 22:45Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.8499999974$200.00
07-19 22:33Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.5434087845$200.00