0xe9176810597362DD5BbfC1B4f146C977f56FB473-1777865201941
0x004683a7cb85faf60f4c2904f9f7e9c0deaf568c
- Realised P&L
- $-96.12
- Volume
- $34.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.365 | $1.9k | +$220.33 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.065 | $130.00 | −$110.00 |
| Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$151.30 |
| Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$387.99 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$769.54at 0.657Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$144.00at 0.420Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$143.67at 0.634Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$102.62at 0.298Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$32.93at 0.400Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 09:59 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999947 | $29.26 |
| 08-01 09:59 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.01049946 | $31.50 |
| 08-01 09:54 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.2542739419 | $77.96 |
| 08-01 09:46 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 09:34 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $180.00 |
| 07-31 12:22 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.4956929231 | $322.20 |
| 07-31 11:57 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $109.17 |
| 07-31 06:37 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.80 |
| 07-25 12:17 | Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.177 | $1.08 |
| 07-21 19:39 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.12 | $240.00 |
| 07-20 15:29 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.34 | $170.00 |
| 07-19 23:11 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.397 | $5.16 |
| 07-19 22:52 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.94 | $567.14 |
| 07-19 22:45 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.8499999974 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 22:33 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.5434087845 | $200.00 |