aylhy77
0x008aacd778676ba8704d48d3e1e41096dbe48451
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $31.4k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $597.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No | 0.944 | 0.983 | $208.26 | +$8.26 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $102.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.606 | $99.93 | −$60.07 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $97.73 | −$2.27 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.128 | $89.16 | −$10.84 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$703.29 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
| Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5 · Over | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.01 |
| Nets vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.899 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 1 Panama? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.180Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$193.48at 0.508US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$125.00at 0.960Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$87.10at 0.775Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$85.71at 0.700France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 16:33 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1429999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 16:33 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 16:33 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 05:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999349 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 02:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6924999999 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 02:57 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 02:56 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 02:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999994 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 02:07 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6924999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 22:35 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.0k |
| 07-18 22:20 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.118 | $21.24 |
| 07-18 22:12 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.4620072698 | $30.00 |
| 07-18 22:01 | France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6999999996 | $200.00 |
| 07-18 21:04 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 21:03 | France vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.84 | $57.75 |