PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

fnjadefy

0x0096fa1b91d10d5282612e21d47980161593de43

Realised P&L
$-425.09
Volume
$254.4k
Markets traded
442
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded442
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.935$2.0k$10.50
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.8820.888$423.60+$3.12
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.1750.217$280.19+$54.69
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2410.145$209.19$138.56
Trump out as President by August 31? · No0.9830.991$198.10+$1.50
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.335$134.00+$34.00
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4320.225$123.07$113.34
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes0.6860.235$112.80$216.55
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? · Yes0.2390.140$108.82$76.88
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? · Yes0.4400.165$103.07$172.07
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? · Yes0.2940.120$93.61$136.06
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5940.675$92.13+$11.06
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.3600.420$84.00+$12.00
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0900.137$80.93+$27.55
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? · No0.8100.820$74.17+$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:58Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?SELL0.8643335088$492.72
08-03 00:58Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?SELL0.8678312604$302.82
08-03 00:38Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.94$470.00
08-03 00:02Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.94$564.00
08-03 00:00Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.94$940.00
08-02 23:59Will Trump resign before 2027?BUY0.963$5.20
08-02 23:30Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?SELL0.8792311347$1.5k
08-02 23:29Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?SELL0.8825468562$1.2k
07-30 14:45GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.024$10.96
07-30 10:22FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$58.75
07-24 05:45Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?BUY0.638986281$94.55
07-22 12:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.8424294667$252.73
07-20 11:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.275$68.75
07-17 06:18Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?BUY0.891$6.49
07-17 06:17Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?BUY0.8915476839$32.72