0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295
0x00cdea4d807710807cdbc54ad34cfafcd992c0ae
- Realised P&L
- $-22.24
- Volume
- $37.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,917
- Open portfolio
- $536.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,917
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.22at 0.120Megaquake by July 31?
- +$3.42at 0.341Will Yvette Cooper be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?
- +$3.30at 0.380Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$3.20at 0.761GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$2.60at 0.910Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:18 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 08-03 04:42 | Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 08-03 01:10 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-03 01:04 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-02 23:24 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 08-02 21:12 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 19:52 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.869 | $4.34 |
| 08-02 13:22 | Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 11:01 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? | SELL | 0.385 | $1.93 |
| 08-02 10:19 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 08-02 09:16 | Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? | SELL | 0.135 | $0.68 |
| 08-02 06:25 | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-02 05:02 | Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 08-02 04:26 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 03:05 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.71 | $5.94 |