Hyperlong
0x014c4e7ae2145992861c2d1b124af633a97f820c
- Realised P&L
- $-36.3k
- Volume
- $9.16M
- Markets traded
- 898
- Open portfolio
- $511.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded898
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.2kat 0.486Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$19.9kat 0.558Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$12.8kat 0.115Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$9.8kat 0.346Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$9.7kat 0.849Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:10 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.2088569733 | $70.38 |
| 08-02 22:08 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.23 | $63.25 |
| 08-02 22:06 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.23 | $19.78 |
| 08-02 13:11 | Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7889942529 | $549.14 |
| 08-02 12:33 | Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | BUY | 0.74 | $340.40 |
| 08-02 12:29 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2 | $715.96 |
| 08-02 12:23 | Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.2498193805 | $82.99 |
| 08-02 10:41 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.81 | $202.50 |
| 08-02 10:35 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.23 | $137.14 |
| 08-01 22:11 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.23 | $27.60 |
| 08-01 19:20 | Benedict Wong as Wong? | BUY | 0.4023939463 | $124.17 |
| 08-01 16:45 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.00 |
| 08-01 14:35 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.0801622864 | $115.75 |
| 08-01 14:13 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $91.06 |
| 08-01 14:11 | Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.942 | $235.50 |