PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Hyperlong

0x014c4e7ae2145992861c2d1b124af633a97f820c

Realised P&L
$-36.3k
Volume
$9.16M
Markets traded
898
Open portfolio
$511.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded898
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$166.4k+$61.4k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$43.6k$61.4k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8950.960$42.2k+$2.8k
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.8200.325$22.3k$34.0k
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2980.535$16.0k+$7.1k
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7910.945$11.0k+$1.8k
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9180.956$11.0k+$439.24
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9030.863$9.7k$450.24
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.7600.675$9.1k$1.1k
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.6590.747$8.2k+$961.66
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8400.855$7.1k+$125.22
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.7140.800$6.3k+$672.66
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? · No0.9430.954$4.9k+$53.95
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No0.8570.895$4.5k+$192.75
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9800.978$4.3k$9.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:10Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.2088569733$70.38
08-02 22:08Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.23$63.25
08-02 22:06Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.23$19.78
08-02 13:11Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?BUY0.7889942529$549.14
08-02 12:33Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?BUY0.74$340.40
08-02 12:29Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.2$715.96
08-02 12:23Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.2498193805$82.99
08-02 10:41Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?BUY0.81$202.50
08-02 10:35Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.23$137.14
08-01 22:11Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.23$27.60
08-01 19:20Benedict Wong as Wong?BUY0.4023939463$124.17
08-01 16:45Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?BUY0.9$36.00
08-01 14:35Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.0801622864$115.75
08-01 14:13Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.07$91.06
08-01 14:11Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?BUY0.942$235.50