chraven
0x01f8689b7e46cef4c8a6b2801000f9fca0a66c84
- Realised P&L
- $-170.67
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $15.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.006 | $9.17 | −$32.76 |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.009 | $5.91 | −$60.09 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-24 19:19 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1005382337 | $66.00 |
| 03-21 20:01 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |
| 03-21 20:00 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2299999975 | $55.00 |
| 03-10 16:00 | Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0274495476 | $41.93 |