kakouguerin
0x0255962624a49894d8c57738bb5d5320069d7a19
- Realised P&L
- $-382.28
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $128.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.39at 0.230Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$29.24at 0.790Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
- +$19.41at 0.340Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- +$19.22at 0.510Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
- +$17.57at 0.740Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 16:27 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 16:27 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 16:26 | Dua Lipa pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.3223254144 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 16:25 | Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | BUY | 0.1431502492 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 16:25 | Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 16:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8329999943 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 16:23 | Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 22:34 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0969999929 | $12.00 |
| 06-05 22:34 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 06-05 22:33 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 06-05 22:32 | Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1067753816 | $50.00 |
| 06-05 22:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $20.00 |
| 05-13 04:59 | Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season? | BUY | 0.6599999992 | $52.76 |
| 04-23 08:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.4399999982 | $48.21 |
| 04-18 11:27 | Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? | BUY | 0.6899999911 | $20.21 |