Fain
0x0262c1d06bb33ac08f00bede1856269d162ea9d2
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $1.32M
- Markets traded
- 1,253
- Open portfolio
- $15.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,253
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$874.08at 0.960Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$840.35at 0.985Kash Patel out by June 30?
- +$512.74at 0.446Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
- +$512.54at 0.512Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
- +$440.02at 0.940Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:48 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 08-02 11:34 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 08-01 16:42 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 07-31 20:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $169.66 |
| 07-31 18:59 | Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel in July? | BUY | 0.9909019608 | $50.54 |
| 07-31 18:59 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.56 |
| 07-31 18:17 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.7910002 | $39.54 |
| 07-31 18:15 | Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-31 14:36 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $167.98 |
| 07-31 14:35 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $454.27 |
| 07-31 02:01 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $288.31 |
| 07-30 14:18 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $20.68 |
| 07-30 14:17 | Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-30 13:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $721.52 |
| 07-30 03:18 | Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |