PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Fain

0x0262c1d06bb33ac08f00bede1856269d162ea9d2

Realised P&L
$5.8k
Volume
$1.32M
Markets traded
1,253
Open portfolio
$15.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,253
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.3500.740$8.4k+$4.4k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5620.539$701.35$29.50
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9070.856$675.85$40.95
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7650.735$449.21$18.21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7600.770$308.00+$4.00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8590.854$298.73$1.82
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9550.979$244.75+$6.02
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9320.923$240.10$2.34
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · No0.9400.945$222.75+$1.18
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9720.973$213.16+$0.21
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9720.971$194.10$0.30
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9670.964$192.70$0.80
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes0.1760.145$145.00$31.57
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9100.910$122.85+$0.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7810.805$120.75+$3.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:48Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?BUY0.77$7.70
08-02 11:34Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.35$7.00
08-01 16:42Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.72$3.60
07-31 20:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?SELL0.998$169.66
07-31 18:59Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel in July?BUY0.9909019608$50.54
07-31 18:59Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?BUY0.97$6.56
07-31 18:17Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.7910002$39.54
07-31 18:15Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?BUY0.998$99.80
07-31 14:36Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.995$167.98
07-31 14:35Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.998$454.27
07-31 02:01Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.961$288.31
07-30 14:18Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.985$20.68
07-30 14:17Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.99$4.95
07-30 13:50Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.962$721.52
07-30 03:18Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.99$4.95