Gal1605
0x02c0e0cc1a65b736feffb117688860f0964ff985
- Realised P&L
- $-338.94
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $300.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.425 | $300.90 | +$143.90 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.67at 0.910Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
- +$24.15at 0.943Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?
- +$23.60at 0.942Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
- +$18.98at 0.894Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
- +$10.99at 0.901Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 10:52 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.2217505184 | $157.00 |
| 03-30 10:29 | US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | SELL | 0.1231314933 | $63.53 |
| 03-30 10:29 | Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026? | SELL | 0.2612224701 | $91.33 |
| 03-28 17:13 | US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | BUY | 0.599425309 | $60.00 |
| 03-28 17:10 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $23.63 |
| 03-28 17:10 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | SELL | 0.967 | $34.13 |
| 03-28 04:00 | Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026? | BUY | 0.5720335533 | $200.00 |
| 03-28 04:00 | US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | BUY | 0.745502215 | $310.00 |
| 03-27 20:23 | US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $15.41 |
| 03-27 15:11 | Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026? | SELL | 0.7726498553 | $37.38 |
| 03-27 13:19 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $440.35 |
| 03-27 12:05 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $21.09 |
| 03-27 11:39 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.9503659461 | $465.00 |
| 03-27 11:29 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.992199402 | $464.60 |
| 03-26 21:21 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.9417912533 | $441.00 |