0xAybars
0x030a367a6cc77e690c00fadde5e7e74c5f640e0b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.15
- Volume
- $700.08
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $40.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.265 | $19.61 | −$6.29 |
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.280 | $11.20 | −$8.00 |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.200 | $6.00 | −$2.70 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.405 | $4.05 | −$4.15 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.50at 0.200Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$14.69at 0.630Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?
- +$11.75at 0.630Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?
- +$7.68at 0.720Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?
- +$3.87at 0.690Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-15 23:49 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 01-11 19:42 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $14.40 |
| 01-11 19:42 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 01-11 19:41 | Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.35 | $18.90 |
| 01-11 19:41 | Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 01-11 19:25 | Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 01-11 19:25 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 01-11 19:25 | Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 01-11 19:25 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 12-31 11:49 | Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.819 | $24.56 |
| 12-29 21:15 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | SELL | 0.7 | $59.50 |
| 10-23 20:37 | Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.94 |
| 10-23 16:44 | Fenerbahçe SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5499999919 | $10.20 |
| 10-23 16:43 | Fenerbahçe SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-23 16:42 | Fenerbahçe SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5499999961 | $28.19 |