PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AvocadosFromMexico

0x033f0346c007323030eb420305ffede19a95618e

Realised P&L
$696.5k
Volume
$15.05M
Markets traded
14,890
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14,890
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · No0.5170.991$883.70+$422.85
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · No0.5501.000$397.46+$178.75
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next? · No0.4950.962$288.60+$140.00
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.5220.993$159.69+$75.66
1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · Chicago White Sox0.6380.650$84.27+$1.50
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next? · No0.6800.995$34.81+$11.01
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · No0.5150.978$31.04+$14.70
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? · Yes0.4560.065$25.09$150.91
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · No0.9600.942$18.84$0.36
Will Dillon Gabriel be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB? · No0.7800.858$13.72+$1.24
Will Justin Fields start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026? · No0.5100.801$12.82+$4.66
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · No0.9400.953$9.53+$0.13
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5) · New England Revolution0.6000.815$8.15+$2.15
Chicago Fire FC to score first vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC? · Yes0.4030.465$6.97+$0.93
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next? · Yes0.1680.153$6.88$0.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:48Kessler vs. Brace: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5BUY0.38$6.13
08-02 03:46Atlante FC leading at halftime?BUY0.94$38.54
08-02 03:46Atlante FC leading at halftime?BUY0.93$29.86
08-02 03:46Atlante FC leading at halftime?BUY0.86$6.88
08-02 03:46Atlante FC leading at halftime?BUY0.72$14.40
08-02 01:48Payton Tolle: Strikeouts O/U 5.5BUY0.66$0.46
08-02 01:18D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5BUY0.01$6.80
08-02 00:09Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5BUY0.9029780081$128.93
08-02 00:07Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5BUY0.9751714816$414.85
08-02 00:06Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5BUY0.9800680735$1.4k
08-02 00:06Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5BUY0.9696937287$39.89
08-02 00:05Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5BUY0.7751124859$13.78
08-02 00:05Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5BUY0.7521485828$574.25
08-02 00:03Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5BUY0.9430255759$593.63
08-02 00:00Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5BUY0.47$24.89