AvocadosFromMexico
0x033f0346c007323030eb420305ffede19a95618e
- Realised P&L
- $696.5k
- Volume
- $15.05M
- Markets traded
- 14,890
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,890
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.6kat 0.409NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics
- +$100.3kat 0.225Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?
- +$35.5kat 0.290Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
- +$33.7kat 0.444Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$32.2kat 0.494Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:48 | Kessler vs. Brace: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $6.13 |
| 08-02 03:46 | Atlante FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.94 | $38.54 |
| 08-02 03:46 | Atlante FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.93 | $29.86 |
| 08-02 03:46 | Atlante FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.88 |
| 08-02 03:46 | Atlante FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-02 01:48 | Payton Tolle: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $0.46 |
| 08-02 01:18 | D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $6.80 |
| 08-02 00:09 | Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.9029780081 | $128.93 |
| 08-02 00:07 | Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.9751714816 | $414.85 |
| 08-02 00:06 | Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.9800680735 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 00:06 | Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.9696937287 | $39.89 |
| 08-02 00:05 | Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.7751124859 | $13.78 |
| 08-02 00:05 | Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.7521485828 | $574.25 |
| 08-02 00:03 | Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.9430255759 | $593.63 |
| 08-02 00:00 | Wolf vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $24.89 |