PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

J4RL3M

0x03710baffa9885597676ed34778136ea36e170c3

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$678.4k
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$55.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · No0.0290.008$40.00$107.43
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.005$5.70$25.16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.0170.009$2.83$2.52
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50$2.50
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$2.46$2.46
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$0.32$2.85
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.16$0.16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes0.0070.001$0.08$0.99
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$30.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$27.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.017$5.36
08-03 05:31Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.011$22.00
08-01 15:36Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
08-01 15:34Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$0.32
08-01 15:34Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$0.30
08-01 15:32Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.014$8.55
08-01 15:26Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.014$15.79
08-01 15:11Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?SELL0.0060504875$0.63
07-31 10:47Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0085$0.97
07-31 10:47Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?BUY0.031$2.79
07-31 10:47Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0307777778$5.54
07-31 10:47Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0197871601$6.37
07-31 10:46Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.028$8.18
07-30 14:46Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.002$0.31
07-30 14:46Megaquake by July 31?SELL0.0039787$0.40