J4RL3M
0x03710baffa9885597676ed34778136ea36e170c3
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $678.4k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $55.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.066Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$1.2kat 0.029Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$195.39at 0.600Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
- +$131.50at 0.360Iran leadership change by April 30?
- +$74.55at 0.325Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.017 | $5.36 |
| 08-03 05:31 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $22.00 |
| 08-01 15:36 | Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-01 15:34 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.32 |
| 08-01 15:34 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 08-01 15:32 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $8.55 |
| 08-01 15:26 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $15.79 |
| 08-01 15:11 | Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0060504875 | $0.63 |
| 07-31 10:47 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0085 | $0.97 |
| 07-31 10:47 | Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.031 | $2.79 |
| 07-31 10:47 | Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0307777778 | $5.54 |
| 07-31 10:47 | Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0197871601 | $6.37 |
| 07-31 10:46 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $8.18 |
| 07-30 14:46 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.31 |
| 07-30 14:46 | Megaquake by July 31? | SELL | 0.0039787 | $0.40 |