donthackme
0x03805a13a0b3e058f55f6c6af95389d4f431073d
- Realised P&L
- $587.0k
- Volume
- $25.44M
- Markets traded
- 32,791
- Open portfolio
- $82.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded32,791
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$297.8kat 0.010Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$204.3kat 0.011Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
- +$139.4kat 0.070Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$134.1kat 0.101Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$108.6kat 0.230Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:34 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $87.31 |
| 08-02 23:34 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.49 |
| 08-02 23:34 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.3699999953 | $32.41 |
| 08-02 23:34 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.6929999896 | $60.69 |
| 08-02 23:34 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.49 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9199999946 | $6.78 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.36 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.36 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.29 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.34 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.7599999729 | $5.60 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9986607409 | $7.36 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.6199999593 | $4.57 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.33 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.7899999796 | $5.82 |