PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

roadstar

0x0387b38bbd5d84670bf8adbbf14129653f1462d1

Realised P&L
$183.15
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · No0.9480.976$488.86+$13.79
Will BMO fail by end of 2026? · No0.9710.979$203.39+$1.75
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9610.981$196.10+$3.90
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No0.8920.958$191.50+$13.11
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9000.955$134.53+$7.74
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No0.6160.825$109.06+$27.66
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9180.962$107.57+$4.83
Fed abolished before 2027? · No0.9360.990$101.10+$5.46
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? · No0.9690.978$79.42+$0.75
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.6100.785$78.50+$17.50
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? · Yes0.5830.305$61.01$55.56
Will RBC fail by end of 2026? · No0.9690.969$59.91$0.03
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? · No0.9660.971$48.51+$0.22
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No0.9200.969$48.42+$2.42
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.5070.695$39.35+$10.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 22:04Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.845$42.25
06-23 19:46Will UBS fail by end of 2026?BUY0.966$9.66
06-23 19:45Will BMO fail by end of 2026?BUY0.9637318501$32.92
06-17 18:04Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.736$36.80
06-17 18:03Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?BUY0.83$22.41
06-16 22:07Will UBS fail by end of 2026?BUY0.9647371311$28.11
06-16 22:07Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?BUY0.965$9.65
06-16 21:55Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.963$9.63
06-16 21:55Will BMO fail by end of 2026?BUY0.963$8.82
06-16 00:07Will BMO fail by end of 2026?BUY0.964737899$45.64
06-12 17:24Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.9673324433$28.98
06-12 17:24Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.968737717$78.67
06-09 19:11Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.025$7.50
06-05 17:29Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.0737394707$3.96
05-31 02:49Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.968$4.84