not-immutal
0x043f5ed8b55795c681c855330f6931ae112a1b07
- Realised P&L
- $-239.57
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $285.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.450 | $70.31 | +$20.31 |
| Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.135 | $46.19 | −$23.81 |
| Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.044 | $41.60 | −$8.39 |
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.080 | $37.71 | −$11.77 |
| Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.125 | $37.50 | +$7.50 |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.088 | $24.78 | +$14.14 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.041 | $11.34 | −$4.62 |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.015 | $6.20 | −$4.60 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.090 | $6.02 | −$0.50 |
| Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.110 | $3.85 | −$0.70 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury · Golden State Valkyries | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.28at 0.430Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$55.24at 0.208Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$51.43at 0.280Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics
- +$38.50at 0.430Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever
- +$32.63at 0.380Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 04:32 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 08:12 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.038 | $10.64 |
| 07-28 08:11 | Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.027 | $10.80 |
| 07-28 08:10 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.057 | $15.96 |
| 07-26 07:29 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 02:11 | Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.12 | $40.71 |
| 07-18 07:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.405 | $40.50 |
| 07-18 07:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.591 | $85.24 |
| 07-18 07:13 | Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1105444944 | $30.00 |
| 07-16 01:56 | Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.096 | $19.49 |
| 07-15 23:58 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.43 | $30.10 |
| 07-15 19:06 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.23 | $37.25 |
| 07-12 01:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2049999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:34 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2079999948 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 23:33 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1852119593 | $30.00 |