PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

48xsds

0x0446942df9d24b9a7de25eac318a129c1714cc69

Realised P&L
$477.16
Volume
$328.1k
Markets traded
2,295
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,295
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · No0.0600.670$65.63+$59.78
Theo James announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0090.289$29.02+$28.05
Will Mason Woodward win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year? · Yes0.0210.451$16.69+$15.89
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-03-08? · No0.0070.495$16.40+$16.16
Will Club Aurora win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.0401.000$13.34+$12.81
Will Lamar Jackson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? · Yes0.0090.402$12.70+$12.40
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0110.110$11.69+$10.50
Will Lamine Yamal be on the cover of EA Sports FC 27? · Yes0.0370.262$11.54+$9.88
Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0050.162$11.21+$10.88
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27? · Yes0.0100.201$10.97+$10.39
Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-06-21? · No0.2601.000$8.66+$6.41
Will Nneka Ogwumike win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? · Yes0.0040.035$8.62+$7.50
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Carolina Panthers in 2026-27? · Yes0.0240.249$8.16+$7.39
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? · No0.3300.560$8.12+$3.33
Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Chicago Event? · No0.6901.000$7.24+$2.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 10:18Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.56$2.80
07-31 10:14Will the Boston Red Sox have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.06$1.07
07-31 09:57Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?SELL0.66$4.57
07-31 09:13Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?SELL0.12$0.60
07-31 09:05Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?SELL0.13$1.95
07-31 08:52Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?SELL0.14$0.70
07-31 08:44Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?SELL0.13$1.33
07-31 08:40Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?SELL0.13$2.17
07-31 08:33Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?SELL0.16$0.89
07-31 08:30Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?SELL0.16$2.24
07-31 08:26Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?SELL0.16$0.80
07-31 08:04Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?SELL0.21$1.67
07-31 08:01Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?SELL0.17$1.51
07-31 07:10Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?SELL0.61$3.05
07-31 06:49Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?SELL0.72$3.89