PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

boooo

0x045972da8d7c333deef5fbba3c826a1e141f203c

Realised P&L
$-10.7k
Volume
$220.0k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0960.085$1.9k$249.99
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8200.925$1.3k+$152.56
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.7510.885$182.11+$27.56
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0340.027$180.60$44.54
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28? · No0.6100.000$0.00$270.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.8860.000$0.00$13.9k
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August? · No0.0790.000$0.00$498.80
Will Keir Starmer say "Russia" or Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · No0.0600.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 18:16Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7702480107$4.0k
04-09 19:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.96$105.98
04-09 19:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.96$980.92
04-09 19:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.959$678.06
03-10 12:43Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.98$1.9k
03-08 10:42Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?BUY0.9765017862$795.43
03-07 12:39Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.981$44.94
02-28 21:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.964$437.61
02-28 21:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.963$128.78
02-28 21:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?SELL0.999$4.0k
02-25 07:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.968$91.73
02-17 18:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?BUY0.991$2.5k
02-17 18:00Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?BUY0.98$570.21
02-13 05:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?BUY0.986$2.3k
01-31 18:02Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?BUY0.8448522312$256.63