boooo
0x045972da8d7c333deef5fbba3c826a1e141f203c
- Realised P&L
- $-10.7k
- Volume
- $220.0k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.085 | $1.9k | −$249.99 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.925 | $1.3k | +$152.56 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No | 0.751 | 0.885 | $182.11 | +$27.56 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.027 | $180.60 | −$44.54 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$270.95 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.886 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.9k |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August? · No | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$498.80 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Russia" or Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$874.06at 0.926Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
- +$545.16at 0.962Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$470.72at 0.971Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$435.20at 0.967Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$209.17at 0.965Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 18:16 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7702480107 | $4.0k |
| 04-09 19:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $105.98 |
| 04-09 19:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $980.92 |
| 04-09 19:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $678.06 |
| 03-10 12:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.9k |
| 03-08 10:42 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31? | BUY | 0.9765017862 | $795.43 |
| 03-07 12:39 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $44.94 |
| 02-28 21:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $437.61 |
| 02-28 21:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $128.78 |
| 02-28 21:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.0k |
| 02-25 07:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $91.73 |
| 02-17 18:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $2.5k |
| 02-17 18:00 | Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $570.21 |
| 02-13 05:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $2.3k |
| 01-31 18:02 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | BUY | 0.8448522312 | $256.63 |