tmyk
0x04e87ce7ae7fb0f0d1bc7209fbaf7bc1f637a0bf
- Realised P&L
- $-7.6k
- Volume
- $696.7k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $484.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$968.27at 0.940US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
- +$845.81at 0.951Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$752.36at 0.965Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$580.02at 0.934Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$541.90at 0.948US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 02:45 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $96.00 |
| 05-24 22:07 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.03431386 | $120.10 |
| 02-28 17:48 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | SELL | 0.4860225922 | $147.15 |
| 02-28 07:35 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $11.26 |
| 02-28 07:05 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $70.00 |
| 02-28 06:51 | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | SELL | 0.35527745 | $355.28 |
| 02-28 06:23 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.957233034 | $4.8k |
| 02-28 02:03 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $515.84 |
| 02-27 12:53 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.92159565 | $921.60 |
| 02-27 10:23 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.8k |
| 02-26 12:47 | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $6.1k |
| 02-26 10:18 | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.6k |
| 02-25 11:05 | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $1.2k |
| 02-19 10:02 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.563 | $405.43 |
| 02-09 13:35 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $2.8k |