PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ThirdEstate

0x058cf6af637f1b80cc03705aa6a471f6a6d3b829

Realised P&L
$-527.07
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$353.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-18.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.5240.170$146.92$306.32
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.4970.325$130.73$69.27
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.3870.125$32.24$67.50
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1460.075$25.71$24.29
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.3900.200$10.26$9.74
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.3500.165$7.95$8.91
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-18 05:36Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.34$63.24
02-18 05:34MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.16$64.64
02-16 13:32Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.3499999907$16.86
02-16 13:32Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.3899999902$20.00
02-16 13:31Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.3721061555$50.00
02-16 13:31Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
02-16 13:27Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.1458451606$50.00
02-16 13:26Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.4972066928$200.00
02-16 13:25Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.3692458127$40.00
01-30 15:20Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.3867044428$99.74
01-30 15:20Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.6888486875$300.00
01-30 15:19MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.2475247525$100.00