cledisidiot
0x05e2f520faf6e7b9e8a6f34f723ceb5eea3dea88
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $1.28M
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $103.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.3kat 0.799Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.953Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.772France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$2.4kat 0.811Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.936Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 07:47 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.82 | $2.0k |
| 07-15 12:48 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.3k |
| 07-14 18:00 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.951 | $949.99 |
| 07-14 14:18 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.949 | $188.59 |
| 07-13 08:52 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.0568123547 | $511.25 |
| 07-10 19:11 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.745 | $545.39 |
| 07-10 12:17 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.0k |
| 07-10 10:32 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7375 | $22.1k |
| 07-09 19:47 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.615 | $3.1k |
| 07-08 19:16 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.075 | $109.00 |
| 07-08 18:58 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.078 | $156.00 |
| 07-08 18:56 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0769982344 | $589.16 |
| 07-05 18:43 | Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $12.2k |
| 06-25 12:23 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $8.08 |
| 06-23 20:55 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.953 | $2.5k |