srv123
0x063a2e455aa064d08a6409eac85bcc5220a527b9
- Realised P&L
- $-421.48
- Volume
- $114.5k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $229.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.015 | $114.00 | −$83.60 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.365 | $105.43 | +$1.44 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.665 | $7.48 | −$0.39 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.230 | $2.62 | −$0.27 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$402.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.92at 0.723Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$206.39at 0.991Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
- +$171.58at 0.633Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
- +$166.81at 0.528Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs?
- +$148.72at 0.156Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:23 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $103.99 |
| 08-02 04:24 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.73 |
| 08-02 04:24 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.04 |
| 08-02 04:20 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $5.14 |
| 08-02 04:20 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.84 |
| 08-01 06:47 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $306.28 |
| 08-01 06:47 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $241.57 |
| 07-14 21:32 | Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August? | BUY | 0.86 | $341.46 |
| 07-14 11:29 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14? | BUY | 0.017 | $17.00 |
| 07-14 08:31 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14? | SELL | 0.989 | $358.45 |
| 07-13 02:51 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14? | BUY | 0.99 | $70.69 |
| 07-13 02:47 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14? | BUY | 0.9705501528 | $314.37 |
| 07-13 02:45 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14? | SELL | 0.06 | $25.62 |
| 07-13 01:01 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.38 |
| 07-11 06:30 | Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11? | BUY | 0.8699999606 | $2.65 |