0x06cad58b95ac8455e0571b2bfd191b9b351467ae
- Realised P&L
- $75.47
- Volume
- $678.48
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.250 | 0.254 | $4.78 | +$0.07 |
| Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.047 | 0.036 | $2.07 | −$0.63 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? · No | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.13 |
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30? · No | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.352 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.79at 0.070Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.06at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:12 | Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.0469148774 | $2.70 |
| 07-30 15:56 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.0091935484 | $1.14 |
| 07-30 15:53 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | BUY | 0.0282749768 | $1.17 |
| 07-30 15:52 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | BUY | 0.0273628809 | $1.17 |
| 07-27 17:45 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.71 |
| 07-27 17:42 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $9.79 |
| 07-19 22:34 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $93.33 |
| 07-19 22:07 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999904 | $6.54 |
| 07-19 22:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.90 |
| 07-14 23:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999893 | $16.84 |
| 07-14 22:59 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3524999789 | $9.47 |