0x30bBD7246D7bEa798574E96F9504905f617f291C-1769078391825
0x06dad3666d60ba4101736d8a92dd04d213bcaf33
- Realised P&L
- $-409.63
- Volume
- $43.3k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$207.98at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?
- +$188.03at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 2?
- +$165.19at 0.164Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 2?
- +$143.51at 0.072Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 19?
- +$101.99at 0.261Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.76 |
| 07-27 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.3225037556 | $6.44 |
| 07-27 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.77 |
| 07-27 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 07-27 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.87 |
| 07-27 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.2048548549 | $4.09 |
| 07-27 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 07-27 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.233003003 | $4.66 |
| 07-27 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.2725 | $5.45 |
| 07-27 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 07-27 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.28 | $10.20 |
| 07-27 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 07-27 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 07-27 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 07-26 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |