PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

redubiso

0x073124a8f2884c9cf75fe37e01f87ae906035194

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$1.20M
Markets traded
13,103
Open portfolio
$926.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13,103
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6400.705$82.62+$7.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4700.575$61.17+$11.17
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · No0.1190.145$60.84+$10.84
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.6500.695$53.45+$3.45
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3850.390$50.58+$0.58
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · No0.6500.645$49.62$0.38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2020.195$48.38$1.62
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5420.469$43.31$6.69
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5630.966$42.87+$17.87
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9040.934$31.01+$1.01
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8200.905$27.59+$2.59
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8980.924$25.74+$0.74
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.9510.953$25.04+$0.04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8800.875$24.86$0.14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.865$24.30$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:04Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2015153958$50.00
08-01 21:02Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.6499999987$50.00
07-31 21:26Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben SheltonBUY0.75$112.50
07-31 14:53Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?SELL0.330338703$47.98
07-31 08:51Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.6361829026$50.00
07-31 02:49Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.75$50.00
07-30 14:45Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.0586950956$7.89
07-29 20:36Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.6499999987$50.00
07-29 14:32Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.3849999978$50.00
07-29 08:28Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.541999998$50.00
07-28 08:17Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.64$75.00
07-28 02:13Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
07-26 19:55Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.1191617592$50.00
07-25 18:16Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?SELL0.7461352543$50.75
07-25 12:14Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.734999991$50.00