PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

namarian999

0x074929877dc305333ca363270c78b94a2e616de9

Realised P&L
$-18.8k
Volume
$386.8k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$18.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.144$5.6k$976.79
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1330.075$4.9k$3.8k
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0950.061$2.0k$1.1k
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3060.195$1.5k$860.46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3720.245$1.2k$623.86
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · No0.5610.335$1.1k$771.32
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0580.026$994.00$1.2k
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$584.40$34.05
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0440.029$457.00$242.13
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1650.100$48.37$31.44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1040.055$13.75$12.25
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? · Yes0.0350.014$10.92$16.26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3230.295$4.42$0.42
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.175$1.11+$0.03
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:48Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.062$0.35
07-27 05:50Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.088$1.41
07-26 10:11Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1508097928$1.60
07-22 17:27Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.11609375$1.49
07-22 12:14Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.04$6.07
07-21 02:50Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$1.08
07-19 04:21Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0411877064$5.74
07-18 18:23Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1742767296$1.11
07-18 18:21Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1014821764$2.16
07-15 12:39Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.08$8.31
07-13 13:05Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0964761012$2.06
07-13 06:45Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?BUY0.036$1.01
07-13 05:50Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.061589456$3.29
07-11 19:12Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.14$1.01
07-10 15:48Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1913184967$18.22