0x075db7e59486eab8c0a72dbd8f20a6f3d19d58c1
- Realised P&L
- $16.2k
- Volume
- $60.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar26.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.570 | 1.000 | $9.6k | +$4.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.561Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$3.2kat 0.370Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals
- +$1.9kat 0.510Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$1.8kat 0.610Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$1.3kat 0.590Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:23 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.57 | $5.5k |
| 08-01 22:36 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5799999999 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 18:41 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.61 | $2.8k |
| 07-31 18:19 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.6632570114 | $2.5k |
| 07-30 15:48 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.5608630102 | $4.7k |
| 07-29 18:14 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.3699999999 | $1.9k |
| 07-29 17:01 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $1.7k |
| 07-26 16:23 | Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $2.0k |
| 07-26 16:23 | Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL | 0.49 | $2.3k |
| 07-26 16:22 | Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5 | $2.3k |
| 07-26 12:41 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 12:35 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0369999993 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 12:34 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0209999996 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 12:32 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1299999997 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 17:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999999 | $1.9k |