GollumGekko
0x08458f7e9d2858027de579e4c3ca305475496b6f
- Realised P&L
- $262.3k
- Volume
- $28.97M
- Markets traded
- 3,196
- Open portfolio
- $194.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,196
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.9kat 0.605US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$21.8kat 0.999US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$14.8kat 0.700US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$9.9kat 0.500Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$9.9kat 0.477US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2084227562 | $19.00 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.6220857083 | $627.54 |
| 08-02 21:52 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8065133378 | $203.48 |
| 08-02 21:52 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $765.13 |
| 08-02 21:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $30.97 |
| 08-02 21:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $341.00 |
| 08-02 21:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $34.41 |
| 08-02 21:47 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.6914 | $172.85 |
| 08-02 21:46 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2909034 | $116.36 |
| 08-02 21:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $204.77 |
| 08-02 21:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.6043896229 | $275.37 |
| 08-02 21:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 08-02 21:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 21:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $520.00 |
| 08-02 21:08 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $57.30 |