PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

GollumGekko

0x08458f7e9d2858027de579e4c3ca305475496b6f

Realised P&L
$262.3k
Volume
$28.97M
Markets traded
3,196
Open portfolio
$194.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,196
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9340.982$26.7k+$1.3k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9040.925$23.8k+$544.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.6960.765$17.7k+$1.6k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4620.415$16.2k$1.8k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6370.655$8.4k+$223.96
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6670.635$6.8k$343.28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.9070.875$6.2k$225.53
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6990.675$5.7k$205.31
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5590.770$5.1k+$1.4k
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.8450.860$3.6k+$62.77
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes0.3020.345$3.5k+$433.03
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.5840.565$3.4k$115.72
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6800.685$2.8k+$19.13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.3370.460$2.7k+$710.16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7320.804$2.6k+$236.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2084227562$19.00
08-02 22:05Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.6220857083$627.54
08-02 21:52Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8065133378$203.48
08-02 21:52UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.33$765.13
08-02 21:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.62$30.97
08-02 21:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.62$341.00
08-02 21:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.45$34.41
08-02 21:47US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.6914$172.85
08-02 21:46Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2909034$116.36
08-02 21:32US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.46$204.77
08-02 21:32US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.6043896229$275.37
08-02 21:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.42$420.00
08-02 21:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.51$1.4k
08-02 21:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.52$520.00
08-02 21:08Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.37$57.30