daniel122134
0x09fe78c8b9f10fb9c7c0a584bfab4205c76876ee
- Realised P&L
- $8.1k
- Volume
- $5.47M
- Markets traded
- 39,328
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded39,328
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.346Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$4.2kat 0.026Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$1.9kat 0.554Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
- +$1.8kat 0.490Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$1.8kat 0.291Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.51 |
| 08-03 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.27 |
| 08-03 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.89 |
| 08-03 06:48 | Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.13 |
| 08-03 06:48 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.13 |
| 08-03 06:48 | Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.02 |
| 08-03 06:48 | Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.04 |
| 08-03 06:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.41 |
| 08-03 06:48 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.13 |
| 08-03 06:48 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.13 |
| 08-03 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5499999899 | $2.71 |
| 08-03 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.69 |
| 08-03 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.84 |
| 08-03 04:47 | Will Garlin Gilchrist win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.997 | $70.79 |
| 08-03 02:41 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.11 |