PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

daniel122134

0x09fe78c8b9f10fb9c7c0a584bfab4205c76876ee

Realised P&L
$8.1k
Volume
$5.47M
Markets traded
39,328
Open portfolio
$9.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded39,328
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:37Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.4$2.51
08-03 08:37Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 3?SELL0.999$6.27
08-03 08:37Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3?SELL0.62$3.89
08-03 06:48Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?BUY0.99$9.13
08-03 06:48Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?BUY0.99$9.13
08-03 06:48Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?BUY0.87$8.02
08-03 06:48Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?BUY0.98$9.04
08-03 06:48Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?BUY0.37$3.41
08-03 06:48Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?BUY0.99$9.13
08-03 06:48Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?BUY0.99$9.13
08-03 06:33Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.5499999899$2.71
08-03 06:33Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on August 4?BUY0.95$4.69
08-03 06:33Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.98$4.84
08-03 04:47Will Garlin Gilchrist win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.997$70.79
08-03 02:41Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.93$7.11