WrongBy1Degree
0x0a0c42f6b1da5a633ec1a4d45ba76eb486c1a853
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $686.1k
- Markets traded
- 7,622
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,622
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$576.66at 0.025Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?
- +$526.90at 0.020Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?
- +$495.68at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 1?
- +$370.34at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 23?
- +$350.85at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.09 |
| 08-03 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.85 |
| 08-03 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.34 |
| 08-03 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.17909991 | $9.95 |
| 08-03 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.81 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0371770335 | $0.78 |
| 08-03 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.11 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.55 |
| 08-03 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0823048556 | $5.36 |
| 08-03 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.77 |
| 08-03 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.55 |
| 08-03 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.137199664 | $9.80 |
| 08-03 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4823469388 | $9.45 |
| 08-03 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 08-03 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.75049922 | $9.62 |