0x0a37cecba6b4707e28980091ab40863c5f6908da
- Realised P&L
- $138.74
- Volume
- $23.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.595 | $1.4k | +$35.28 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.964 | 0.952 | $464.52 | −$6.10 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $77.33 | −$15.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.84at 0.240Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$38.96at 0.782Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-0.56at 0.078Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-1.41at 0.976Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-18.93at 0.736Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 18:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.15 | $92.80 |
| 07-14 09:24 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.975 | $1.4k |
| 04-26 11:50 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $703.45 |
| 04-22 18:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.8098799711 | $896.86 |
| 04-21 20:21 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.796 | $460.01 |
| 04-12 17:33 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.727 | $1.5k |
| 04-09 06:36 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.7379249017 | $1.2k |
| 04-04 04:36 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.077 | $43.38 |
| 04-04 04:11 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.078 | $43.94 |