-metabaron-
0x0ab606c8c8d7068f06cfc580d8499a1b381f8eef
- Realised P&L
- $588.50
- Volume
- $3.61M
- Markets traded
- 857
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded857
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$239.29at 0.091Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
- +$228.38at 0.144Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
- +$178.01at 0.023Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$166.51at 0.250Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$158.16at 0.170Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | SELL | 0.72 | $9.99 |
| 08-03 03:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 08-02 21:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.88 | $78.15 |
| 08-01 16:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 08-01 02:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6558028445 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 01:52 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.093 | $18.60 |
| 07-27 12:49 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.058 | $5.80 |
| 07-26 22:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | SELL | 0.0232638 | $4.65 |
| 07-26 22:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.29 | $16.93 |
| 07-25 23:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 07-25 17:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.869 | $43.45 |
| 07-25 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 14:29 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.83 |
| 07-24 16:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 07-24 16:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $1.17 |