PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mrstupid

0x0af5935cb0f3784714d09635132e046652bf2470

Realised P&L
$-4.7k
Volume
$808.5k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$16.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.8550.895$6.1k+$270.00
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9400.965$3.5k+$90.97
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7060.675$3.4k$155.54
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9800.959$2.9k$66.25
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.3950.440$627.74+$64.14
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$364.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$3.7k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3320.000$0.00$8.9k
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$386.38
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$2.2k
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$292.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 04:53Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.4$655.43
07-01 01:10Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.332$8.9k
06-29 19:50Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.74$3.0k
06-29 19:50Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.74$740.00
06-14 14:48Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.021$2.2k
06-08 14:31SBF released from custody in 2026?SELL0.924420765$1.8k
06-03 06:31Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9827493286$1.1k
06-03 06:31Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.95$2.2k
06-03 06:31Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.7$1.3k
06-03 06:31Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.89$121.84
06-02 21:26Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.72$9.73
06-02 21:26Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.89$27.80
06-02 21:25Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.89$27.80
06-02 21:25Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.94$56.31
06-02 21:25Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9859792753$1.6k