PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0b30d7a048a270c8d7311f2e45344F105c9354f9-1767401919066

0x0b30d7a048a270c8d7311f2e45344f105c9354f9

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$254.8k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.3170.055$2.2k$10.3k
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2470.120$781.19$825.12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4700.075$247.50$1.3k
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2220.052$105.00$339.15
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.1100.079$78.50$31.38
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.7090.155$23.25$83.15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00$899.99
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$498.93
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.3110.000$0.00$3.9k
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00$16.16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$27.71
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00$1.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 17:12Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?BUY0.1075082334$5.29
06-28 17:06Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2331730922$58.79
05-11 03:48Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.25$11.83
05-11 03:46Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.1306914667$392.07
05-03 21:27Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2497146444$262.53
05-03 18:48Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.12$720.00
05-03 18:44Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.11$88.21
05-03 18:43Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?BUY0.0131478331$27.67
04-05 17:52Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.1699999999$1000.00
03-18 19:58Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.44$440.00
03-18 19:57Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.3$300.00
03-18 19:57Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.44$220.00
03-18 19:56Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.44$132.00
03-12 02:18Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.1699080769$44.18
03-12 02:17Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.0223341564$47.13