PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Lastworld13

0x0c18cf122dce8556302ff496affe379097aba04c

Realised P&L
$-22.8k
Volume
$1.75M
Markets traded
265
Open portfolio
$980.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded265
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3440.350$781.43+$13.80
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4100.435$106.10+$6.10
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.6790.331$48.65$51.35
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0860.065$16.56$5.44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.4900.740$15.10+$5.10
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0250.022$11.70$1.30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$0.46$0.54
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina0.2000.000$0.00$66.87
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots · Yes0.6930.000$0.00$50.00
Spread: France (-3.5) · France0.5840.000$0.00$101.09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00$30.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$23.89
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.63$10.80
08-02 06:42Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3741521476$93.63
08-02 04:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4099999976$100.00
08-02 03:42Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.6793141628$100.00
08-02 02:45Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3784609045$9.00
08-02 02:42Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3691051647$37.00
08-02 02:41Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3437733056$49.00
08-02 02:41Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3368337592$50.00
08-02 02:41Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3328764404$50.00
08-02 02:40Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.32322761$99.00
08-01 23:19Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?BUY0.025$13.00
08-01 23:16Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3420601166$380.00
08-01 18:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
08-01 18:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.349999965$6.00
07-31 16:38Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.0699999947$12.00