Lastworld13
0x0c18cf122dce8556302ff496affe379097aba04c
- Realised P&L
- $-22.8k
- Volume
- $1.75M
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $980.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.264US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.172US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$1.1kat 0.127Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$452.56at 0.048Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$433.03at 0.670Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.63 | $10.80 |
| 08-02 06:42 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3741521476 | $93.63 |
| 08-02 04:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 03:42 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.6793141628 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 02:45 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3784609045 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 02:42 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3691051647 | $37.00 |
| 08-02 02:41 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3437733056 | $49.00 |
| 08-02 02:41 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3368337592 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 02:41 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3328764404 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.32322761 | $99.00 |
| 08-01 23:19 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.025 | $13.00 |
| 08-01 23:16 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3420601166 | $380.00 |
| 08-01 18:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 18:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.349999965 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 16:38 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999947 | $12.00 |