0x0c21661b7b1F474914d3E77DF65700B341aA2A53-1726558601666
0x0c21661b7b1f474914d3e77df65700b341aa2a53
- Realised P&L
- $-19.9k
- Volume
- $441.9k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.024Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
- +$-184.95at 0.162Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-339.08at 0.019Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
- +$-731.71at 0.440Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?
- +$-919.19at 0.259Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 08:59 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $297.03 |
| 07-01 08:59 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.102075476 | $315.05 |
| 07-01 08:58 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $147.64 |
| 06-15 17:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1619999997 | $500.00 |
| 06-15 17:03 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.021 | $500.00 |
| 06-15 17:02 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1675996712 | $500.00 |
| 06-15 17:02 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0979999999 | $1000.00 |
| 06-15 15:34 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $460.65 |
| 06-15 15:34 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.060447042 | $2.0k |
| 06-14 17:56 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.1k |
| 06-14 17:56 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1762560918 | $1.1k |
| 06-14 09:11 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $540.02 |
| 02-28 19:49 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0450488948 | $199.60 |
| 11-23 11:56 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.0508219882 | $495.00 |
| 11-23 11:56 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.2117594845 | $2.0k |