afonsoo003
0x0c3d8f1e50210165a1fe186ef45c540fcff7f757
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $4.24M
- Markets traded
- 2,830
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,830
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? · Yes | 0.484 | 0.744 | $1.5k | +$507.28 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.680 | 0.495 | $412.35 | −$154.11 |
| Will Benfica qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.914 | $228.53 | −$16.36 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.340 | 0.245 | $206.07 | −$79.90 |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.611 | $190.26 | −$109.74 |
| Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.365 | $58.77 | +$16.83 |
| Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.295 | $29.79 | +$1.51 |
| Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.325 | $16.25 | +$10.55 |
| Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.068 | $2.70 | −$5.30 |
| Will Arouca win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.002 | $0.03 | −$2.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.587Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$2.2kat 0.926Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5
- +$2.2kat 0.479IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score
- +$1.6kat 0.949Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
- +$1.5kat 0.935Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tien
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:26 | SE Palmeiras vs. Fortaleza EC: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 20:24 | SE Palmeiras vs. Fortaleza EC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $888.18 |
| 08-02 20:20 | HNK Rijeka vs. NK Rudeš: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9852699612 | $198.18 |
| 08-02 19:57 | Galatasaray Istanbul vs. Stade Rennais FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9812201592 | $369.92 |
| 08-02 19:53 | NK Brinje Grosuplje vs. FC Koper: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $274.40 |
| 08-02 19:47 | FC Rapid 1923 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $111.68 |
| 08-02 19:35 | GKS Katowice vs. RKS Radomiak Radom: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9898822366 | $420.28 |
| 08-02 19:25 | CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $7.01 |
| 08-02 19:19 | CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $6.78 |
| 08-02 18:21 | NK Varaždin vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.11 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 17:51 | NK Varaždin vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9881684982 | $269.77 |
| 08-02 17:46 | NK Varaždin vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $33.63 |
| 08-02 17:43 | NK Varaždin vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $101.23 |
| 08-02 16:59 | WKS Slask Wroclaw vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $352.56 |
| 08-02 16:46 | Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $2.9k |