0x0c8e7b815917d0a29b10b5d241b756d39481cebf
- Realised P&L
- $-413.97
- Volume
- $65.9k
- Markets traded
- 456
- Open portfolio
- $0.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded456
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.001 | $0.34 | −$326.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$317.23at 0.025Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
- +$219.11at 0.080Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?
- +$200.19at 0.372Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?
- +$144.32at 0.195Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
- +$142.45at 0.260Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:21 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.92 |
| 08-02 19:21 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.4799999796 | $8.47 |
| 08-02 19:20 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.48 | $63.33 |
| 08-02 19:20 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.4799999993 | $253.33 |
| 07-30 21:25 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.32 | $1.55 |
| 07-30 21:25 | Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Tabilo | BUY | 0.5599999954 | $14.53 |
| 07-30 21:23 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $53.89 |
| 07-30 20:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.1099999963 | $24.49 |
| 07-30 20:53 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.5702277126 | $100.17 |
| 07-29 16:15 | Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.1499999951 | $22.99 |
| 07-29 16:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.1099999945 | $17.29 |
| 07-29 15:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29? | SELL | 0.53 | $44.24 |
| 07-29 14:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.0899999952 | $15.81 |
| 07-29 14:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.2099999917 | $17.53 |
| 07-28 05:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.2699999913 | $22.42 |