PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0d10ff6c461e75Da4792f4fD8FD1d414e6A66B3d-1733169443822

0x0d10ff6c461e75da4792f4fd8fd1d414e6a66b3d

Realised P&L
$-309.16
Volume
$16.7k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$618.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · Yes0.3621.000$100.00+$63.80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · No0.6501.000$100.00+$35.00
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026? · No0.9101.000$100.00+$9.00
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.6300.735$73.50+$10.50
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No0.6500.820$56.89+$11.79
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2760.278$55.50+$0.30
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1230.185$55.50+$18.70
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.8200.880$30.75+$2.10
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$13.00$13.00
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1230.042$12.60$24.20
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.3900.615$8.43+$3.08
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1230.010$3.00$33.80
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.005$2.75$2.00
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1230.009$2.70$34.10
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1230.009$2.70$34.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-13 00:40Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?BUY0.91$91.00
03-13 00:35Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?BUY0.2$3.16
03-13 00:27SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.39$4.71
03-13 00:015kt meteor strike in 2026?BUY0.63$18.90
03-12 23:32Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?BUY0.62$62.00
03-12 23:24SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.07$1.88
03-12 23:09Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.48$144.00
03-12 22:59Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?BUY0.010465899$4.00
03-12 22:13Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.01$20.00