market.insider
0x0ed4b4bf6ca8794aedac734daeac371675ae03d8
- Realised P&L
- $-847.65
- Volume
- $131.6k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $267.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.13at 0.620Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?
- +$5.87at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
- +$1.45at 0.840Ethereum ETF Flows on October 31?
- +$1.01at 0.748Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET
- +$0.28at 0.930Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 21:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0089999987 | $7.00 |
| 06-04 21:46 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | SELL | 0.0100271087 | $7.40 |
| 06-04 21:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0089999991 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 21:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0089999991 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 21:43 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.073 | $22.88 |
| 05-30 19:22 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0089999989 | $8.00 |
| 05-30 19:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0089999982 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 19:19 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL | 0.0114641644 | $5.67 |
| 05-30 19:18 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | SELL | 0.012 | $8.85 |
| 05-27 10:49 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | BUY | 0.0332776561 | $12.40 |
| 05-27 10:48 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.0712917756 | $30.00 |
| 05-27 10:48 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | BUY | 0.0326888322 | $30.00 |
| 05-27 10:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.0758372456 | $81.16 |
| 05-27 10:46 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.0678583767 | $5.00 |
| 05-27 10:46 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | BUY | 0.0270018571 | $5.00 |