Vaniky
0x1123ff6e4ee6834a321acd044ab4be6f5dfeb4b0
- Realised P&L
- $-558.92
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $61.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.30at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
- +$48.27at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$36.97at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7PM ET
- +$20.92at 0.213Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3PM ET
- +$13.65at 0.387Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7PM ET | SELL | 0.6622371365 | $76.97 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.360483235 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 23:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999688 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 23:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 23:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.349999993 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $0.93 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $6.34 |
| 08-02 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $6.34 |
| 08-02 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 22:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |