PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x115A63c208278A576150176880F48F064c94e4A6-1766247046507

0x115a63c208278a576150176880f48f064c94e4a6

Realised P&L
$-34.4k
Volume
$4.74M
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$31.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1500.055$23.7k$40.8k
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1330.065$6.7k$7.1k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0610.018$688.54$1.6k
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.006$65.00$25.00
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1410.029$32.39$122.12
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0040.001$10.00$70.00
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0320.004$7.86$48.04
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0020.001$0.50$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 21:57Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.014$56.00
07-14 20:33Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.0274999997$100.00
06-30 01:56Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Morocco?BUY0.0223893964$50.00
06-24 20:51Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$1.0k
06-24 16:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0789592745$894.01
06-24 16:05Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.076$396.90
06-24 08:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0520147501$1000.00
06-17 02:09Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$99.93
06-17 02:08Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$100.00
04-23 09:15Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.166$101.59
04-20 22:15Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$400.00
04-19 23:04Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011$110.00
04-18 22:25Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.072$1.8k
04-18 22:24Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.072$720.00
04-17 22:55Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$1.2k