zdASZdas
0x11bb228ef6a7181977144b80e342e6c862408472
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $397.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? · Yes | 0.844 | 0.721 | $201.88 | −$34.44 |
| Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? · Yes | 0.792 | 0.631 | $100.95 | −$25.76 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? · Yes | 0.578 | 0.559 | $33.55 | −$1.16 |
| Will José Soriano be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? · No | 0.678 | 0.475 | $33.25 | −$14.25 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3? · No | 0.540 | 0.535 | $10.70 | −$0.10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.885 | $8.58 | +$0.15 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · Yes | 0.431 | 0.422 | $8.45 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.664LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.0kat 0.740LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
- +$933.15at 0.870LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
- +$296.37at 0.959LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$77.24at 0.989LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:17 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.584 | $11.68 |
| 08-02 19:30 | LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.9718057714 | $6.8k |
| 08-02 19:04 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | SELL | 0.877 | $66.94 |
| 08-02 18:38 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | SELL | 0.859 | $8.59 |
| 08-02 18:19 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | SELL | 0.113063597 | $17.78 |
| 08-02 14:20 | Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.87 | $69.60 |
| 08-02 10:42 | LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group | SELL | 0.999 | $372.33 |
| 08-02 10:38 | LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group | BUY | 0.99 | $324.72 |
| 08-01 12:33 | LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9886030522 | $6.7k |
| 08-01 06:47 | Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | SELL | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 07-31 20:46 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 37.5 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 07-31 20:37 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 07-31 20:16 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $31.20 |
| 07-31 19:49 | Will Leon Goretzka join Juventus? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.40 |
| 07-31 19:48 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |