PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900

0x122cb94c437ea5e6f088c6c0c143c592ab8efbed

Realised P&L
$154.3k
Volume
$16.22M
Markets traded
1,523
Open portfolio
$30.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,523
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes0.9830.931$3.6k$198.99
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9170.937$2.0k+$43.73
Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic? · No0.9401.000$2.0k+$119.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7330.825$1.9k+$209.95
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8650.860$1.8k$10.35
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.915$1.7k+$9.34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.5580.640$1.4k+$178.67
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.5040.810$1.4k+$515.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.4120.460$1.1k+$120.65
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.3490.435$1.1k+$214.62
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · No0.6580.855$1.1k+$243.85
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.3960.425$1.0k+$72.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? · No0.9530.984$873.00+$26.79
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3770.310$773.16$168.17
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8500.920$677.21+$51.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.093$0.93
08-02 23:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.092$0.46
08-02 23:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.091$0.45
08-02 23:18US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.28$1.55
08-02 23:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.22$39.44
08-02 23:16US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.29$16.29
08-02 23:16US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.71$16.91
08-02 23:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.029$0.58
08-02 22:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7$12.49
08-02 22:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.41$12.30
08-02 22:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7$4.19
08-02 22:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.71$165.74
08-02 22:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.71$3.75
08-02 22:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.3$3.56
08-02 22:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.42$44.76