0x1287A3B2c74080f2a4592C2278F12dFa082a2b5E-1756378642982
0x1287a3b2c74080f2a4592c2278f12dfa082a2b5e
- Realised P&L
- $-142.28
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $0.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.051 | $0.45 | −$1.55 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.365 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.13at 0.640Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$24.27at 0.110Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$15.13at 0.062Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$15.00at 0.250Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$12.64at 0.940Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 14:26 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 14:26 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 14:25 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 14:25 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 16:21 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2949999459 | $3.00 |
| 07-13 16:21 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3649999457 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 16:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999603 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 16:26 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 16:26 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 16:25 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 16:25 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1399999727 | $4.00 |
| 07-06 05:04 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999297 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 05:04 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 05:04 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 01:25 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3399999694 | $4.00 |