0x12e8E866098e8A1B4B872AF2c6199ee457ad1F6e-1760202171749
0x12e8e866098e8a1b4b872af2c6199ee457ad1f6e
- Realised P&L
- $-16.99
- Volume
- $92.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.015 | $1.2k | −$788.65 |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
| Bulls vs. Hornets · Bulls | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Vikings vs. Chargers · Vikings | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
| Spurs vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.50 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix? · No | 0.627 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.30 |
| Panthers vs. Buccaneers · Panthers | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Packers vs. Lions · Lions | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.00 |
| Rams vs. Bears · Bears | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
| Rams vs. Jaguars · Jaguars | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Colts vs. Chiefs · Colts | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$235.00 |
| Oklahoma vs. Texas · Oklahoma | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$167.00 |
| Bills vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$420.92at 0.520Eagles vs. Packers
- +$377.09at 0.288Blue Jays vs. Mariners Series Winner
- +$156.13at 0.460Packers vs. Bears
- +$145.17at 0.480Lakers vs. Grizzlies
- +$143.22at 0.460Celtics vs. 76ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 03:59 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.07 | $57.05 |
| 06-19 03:57 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.20 |
| 06-19 03:56 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.55 |
| 06-19 03:54 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.90 |
| 03-15 20:10 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6189999981 | $40.00 |
| 03-15 20:08 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7813886272 | $233.00 |
| 02-10 04:19 | Spurs vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.2899999972 | $62.50 |
| 01-31 20:56 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.2688506311 | $18.00 |
| 01-31 20:49 | Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.2 | $23.30 |
| 01-24 02:46 | Magic vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.3971631206 | $7.00 |
| 01-24 02:45 | Rams vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.5699999989 | $71.00 |
| 01-24 02:44 | Patriots vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.3399999946 | $25.00 |
| 01-19 21:38 | Celtics vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.4399999979 | $51.25 |
| 01-18 02:24 | Rams vs. Bears | BUY | 0.3599999935 | $24.50 |
| 01-18 02:23 | Texans vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.6299999991 | $80.00 |