AlwaysTimed
0x13c27d1b038c20484ef3d8cf7e66725fcfccb7c8
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $33.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.108Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$273.70at 0.270Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$77.78at 0.720S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?
- +$-4.34at 0.430Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
- +$-6.03at 0.008Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:11 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $105.30 |
| 08-02 16:10 | Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.36 | $126.00 |
| 08-02 09:51 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.1208142489 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 09:51 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.066787666 | $33.29 |
| 08-02 09:42 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.6682625154 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 09:08 | Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.35 | $87.50 |
| 07-31 08:07 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0999617486 | $36.59 |
| 07-31 08:07 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $12.24 |
| 07-31 07:55 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.347 | $138.80 |
| 07-31 07:53 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.1899818 | $94.99 |
| 07-31 07:52 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.70 |
| 07-31 07:51 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $256.00 |
| 07-31 07:47 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $66.00 |
| 07-31 07:45 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $100.19 |
| 07-31 07:42 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $46.92 |