PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Tonnic

0x150c6974a95da6b8a1dcb3805de25d0cc5251c8d

Realised P&L
$165.63
Volume
$24.8k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 10:44Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.05$1.06
07-14 06:51Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.306$2.96
07-08 17:02Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.01$4.32
07-07 14:21Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.24$41.36
07-07 13:11Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.24$142.10
06-26 06:20Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.018$4.82
06-10 06:57Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?SELL0.93$178.00
03-08 17:31Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?BUY0.92$276.00
03-08 16:37Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.88$1.12
03-08 12:41Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?BUY0.92$220.80
03-07 16:44Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?BUY0.94$141.00
03-05 20:40Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?BUY0.93$38.50
02-21 18:18Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?BUY0.82$82.00
02-21 18:16Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?BUY0.818$10.47
02-06 07:11Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.036$2.82