PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

FridayImInLove

0x152f67a53948be8e8999a5badb4a4b083909c7e7

Realised P&L
$-13.9k
Volume
$2.52M
Markets traded
457
Open portfolio
$176.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded457
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2500.205$73.80$16.20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? · Yes0.0190.017$42.45$7.55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0420.022$26.04$23.96
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes0.0450.024$23.84$21.16
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0800.065$8.13$1.88
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.1000.025$2.50$7.50
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$189.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00$24.76
Iran full airspace closure by July 27? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up0.4840.000$0.00$8.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.7020.000$0.00$297.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.3980.000$0.00$9.57
Epstein client list released by June 30? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$899.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.6380.000$0.00$49.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00$24.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 17:39Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.1$10.00
08-01 16:40Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.08$10.00
08-01 16:38US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?BUY0.0194335181$50.00
08-01 15:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$90.00
08-01 15:19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0409999991$45.00
08-01 15:18Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.0453072863$45.00
07-31 21:06Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.0302595555$90.00
07-31 09:28Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.0185701263$100.00
07-30 12:46Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0288878162$10.00
07-29 13:31Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.0089596814$10.00
07-29 13:29Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.004$10.00
07-29 08:44Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0579999894$5.00
07-29 08:44Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0039856517$5.00
07-29 08:43Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.006$5.00
07-28 14:30Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.0181000612$5.00